Judul : Hurricane Gabrielle to threaten millions along US coast as tropical depression erupts in Atlantic
link : Hurricane Gabrielle to threaten millions along US coast as tropical depression erupts in Atlantic
Hurricane Gabrielle to threaten millions along US coast as tropical depression erupts in Atlantic
- MORE: Millions of Americans warned as new hurricane forecast pins exact date for Atlantic storm threats
A tropical depression has erupted in the Atlantic and forecasters warn it could soon turn into the next named hurricane to threaten the US East Coast.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) announced that Tropical Depression Seven formed around 5am ET Wednesday morning, the first step before severe weather systems become a named storm.
Depressions are the first stage of a tropical cyclone, where a low-pressure area forms with thunderstorms and relatively low winds.
However, meteorologists said Seven is quickly building into a tropical storm, with sustained winds of 35 mph and growing stronger, and it could officially become Gabrielle by Wednesday night.
NHC officials expect the storm to reach hurricane strength by this weekend, with winds exceeding 75 mph.
Early spaghetti models of the tropical depression's path show it could be headed for the East Coast next week, threatening several states from the Carolinas to New England with hurricane-strength wind and rain.
AccuWeather's lead hurricane expert, Alex DaSilva, warned that the depression is currently moving into an area of the Atlantic which 'low wind shear and increased mid-level moisture.'
That means the storm will have ideal weather to form a more focused and organized structure, seen with most giant tropical cyclones.
The low wind shear in the central Atlantic reduces the disruptive gusts that can weaken storms and break up their structure.
Meanwhile, the increased mid-level moisture, roughly 5,000 to 20,000 feet above the ocean, is expected to provide ample fuel for the depression's thunderstorm to increase in strength.
All of this helps create the strong, rising air currents needed for the weather system to grow a solid core and turn into a tropical storm, and eventually a hurricane.
Current storm tracks revealed that Hurricane Gabrielle could threaten Bermuda by early Monday morning, before potentially heading for the East Coast.
However, some spaghetti models predict Gabrielle may turn away from the US and spiral deeper into the Atlantic.
'Steering currents will guide the depression mainly north of the Caribbean and away from the US,' DaSilva predicted in a statement from AccuWeather.
Despite the early positivity, most models for the growing storm are still unsettled and a definitive path remains uncertain.
A spaghetti model shows the different possible paths a tropical storm or hurricane might take, based on predictions from multiple weather computer programs.
Each line represents one model's guess about where the storm could go. If the lines are close together, it means most models agree on the path, and the prediction is more certain.
Once Gabrielle forms this week, it will break a historic lull in tropical activity that hasn't been seen in 33 years.
There hasn't been a named storm in the Atlantic this year since Tropical Storm Fernand faded away on August 29.
The last time there was a gap this long between named storms during the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season was in 1992.
However, that major break between storms came after the devastating Category 5 Hurricane Andrew slammed into Florida on August 24 of that year.
If Gabrielle's path takes it towards the US, it could be the first hurricane to make landfall on the East Coast since Hurricane Milton in October 2024.
Previous forecasts by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) had predicted an 'above average' hurricane season with more named storms than there were in 2024, when 18 such storms were tracked.
Gabrielle will only be the seventh named storm to form so far, with the Atlantic hurricane season now reaching its midpoint.
The season lasts from June 1 until the end of November each year.
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